Saturday 13th January 2007

The twins are now both 100% fit and Zoe is 80% but recovering well. I am still suffering and on top of that my Au pair could not help to day as she is now ill. So Leo went with his Gran and Auntie for the afternoon and I had to juggle looking after the two remaining children and my Sports Trading. I couldn't have got off to a worse start.

My first race was the 12:20 @ Lingfield where I backed Fares for £100 @ 1.05 when well in front on the final furlong to see him weaken in the last 100yds and cost me £100. In the next race, the 12:30 at Kempton I laid Mr Excel for £100 @ 5.20 when making a mistake at 3 hurdles out and I backed him back for £50 @ 8.00, to give me a £50 profit. I then had a small, profitable trade in the 12:50 at Warwick.

My next race was the 12:55 at Lingfield and here I laid Blue Monkey for £77 @ 3.80 in the final furlong whilst third and backed him for ££13 @ 8.20 moments later to give me another £64 profit. I switched back over to ATR to see the final stages of the 12:55 @ Punchestown and managed to back Forget The Past for £88 @ 1.40 again on the run in to give me a £35 profit. I then had a small, profitable trade in the 13:15 at Wetherby.

Next for me was the 13:25 at Warwick where I backed Roley Hill for £412 @ 1.05 just as he cleared the final hurdle and well in the lead to leave me with a profit of £21. I then had two small trades, one gave me a £2 profit and the other, my only other loss today of 10pence.

My next race was the 14:20 at Wetherby and here I laid Matmata de Tendron for £32 @ 2.95 when challenged for the lead and overtaken on the run in, to give me a profit of £32. In the 14:30 at Warwick I had 6 trades on Labelthou. I started with a back for £100 @ 1.62 and laid back @ 1.45, I then backed £185 @ 1.40 and laid back @ 1.30. I had a further two small trades in this race and ended with a profit of £33. I then had a smallish, profitable trade in the 14:45 at Kempton.

The next race I traded was the 15:00 at Warwick where I had a straight lay on Offermont for £20 @ 2.85 whilst under pressure about 3 fences out to net me a profit of £20. I then had another two small , profitable trades. Next was the 15:50 at Kempton and here I laid Cousin Nicky for £50 @ 5.70 before backing him for £40 @ 7.00 to give me a profit of £10. I finished the day with a further two small profitable trades. So I had traded in 18 races and lost in 2, with a final total profit of £185.

I started my football today with the Blackburn v Arsenal game. I had missed all the first half and started watching well into the second half. After the Second goal had been scored I continued to watch as the odds moved about. Eventually I struck with a back of the under 2.5 goals for £315 @ 1.92 with just 16 minutes of the game to go. The odds fell away very quickly and I was able to lay £130 @ 1.75 within about a minute. I then laid £110 @ 1.70 and £75 @ 1.66. I then waited a few more minutes before greening up with lays of £ £25 @ 1.36 and £25 @ 1.13. In the final minute I backed £23 @ 1.14 just because the price was too good to leave. So I finished the match with a profit of £55.

I had intended to trade on the Espanyol V Barcelona Match. Back in a past life of mine I was quite successfull at exporting lamb carcases to Spain and watched the rebuilding of the Espanyol de Barcelona whist attending the Bi-annual Meat Exhibition, Alemantaria,  just down the road. The Stadium was rebuilt to accommodate the 1992 Olympic Games. Any way back to the match. As my football trading has not been great of late and with this one expected to have plenty of goals I decided to wait before getting involved. I also had a quick flick through some other channels on the TV to see what was on and I stumbled across an old episode of Bergerac. It was the Christmas special from 1981 where a renowned jewel thief, Philipa Vale, was on the Island. Now Philipa Vale was played by Liza Goddard and I have always had more than a soft spot for her, so I decided to continue watching the episode for probably my 10th time. That resulted in me missing most of the match, although I did catch the final few minutes and, boy, was I glad that Liza had come to my rescue. So I had finished my trading day with a total profit of £240.

Comments

[Sokyola]

Hi,

Read your blog with interest and very enjoyable, as a result, have decided to try the trading game and joined BetDaq.

Out of interest, do you use any trading software in conjunction with BetDaq.

Keep on winning.

[Ray]

Hi Sokyola,
Pleased to hear that you have joined Betdaq. Thanks for your comments. I do not use any trading software. I have had a look at some in the past but have always reverted back to using the main Betdaq site. You need fewer clicks with Betdaq to submit bets. Good Luck with your trading.
Ray

[Richard Cross]

Ray, you must have the gambling gods on your side. Have been reading your blog with great interest for sometime now, and everytime there is a high scoring football game, for one reason or another you manage to miss the game! Do these lucky escapes make you question your football strategy, as surely your luck will run out soon?

[Ray]

Hi Richard,
I have been concerned about my football strategy for a while now. I had a great run through October, November and early December and I remember a comment on my blog saying how unusal it was to have so few goals in the Premiership. I answered that more likely than not we will see more goals than normal now and that by the end of the season ithe stats will show another average year. Well within a couple of days we did start to see some very high scoring matches. My startegy is still sound as long as I get out of the trade fairly quickly, but what I have done recently is to go back in too heavy and have been getting caught out. I generally do very well with my in-running horse racing and recently a lot of my earnings from this are being swallowed up by a few misguided football trades. I am still in neagative territory when I look at just football trades from 1/12/06 to date but am up £7K on horse trading. It's about time I changed something, don't you think? Having said that I had one horrendous trade on football that started with a genuine mistake and that more than covers my losses on football.
Ray

[humble]

Hi ray as always an honest post from yourself,well done on your trading for sat.i am starting to see the difference between paper trading and actually putting money on when trading "small stakes of course" i can see it does take good concentration and quick reflexes i have been caught out a few times having backed in running and holding out for a better price to, lay far longer than i should do for more profit only to see everything quickly turn against me.do you get in and out as quick as poss if you dont get the price you want.great read once again.tahsnk

[Ray]

Hi Humble,
Thanks, as always, for your comments. Total concentration and lightening quick reflexes are the key to in-running along with a good computer and fast broadband connection. Over time you do get better at this, which is why you should stick to small stakes untill you can see the profits start. If I start with a back I normally have a lay ready very quickly but will cancel if the back looks like winning. Good Luck.
Ray

[Rob]

Hi Ray
Glad to see you doing well overall, the footie is going through a strange run, with lots of goals and late goals, but your strategy is largely sound.....and a similar approach as done well for me over the last 2 years!

Just a quick update, both the wife and I are now struck down with the pox.....I have the biggest one ever seen on my stomach....Lucas is now clear though :-)
GL Rob
Ps. Think I'll take the night off and have a relax infront of the tv!!

[Ray]

Hi Rob,
I'm pleased to hear from you and that Lucas is better. I just hope you and your wife recover quickly from the dreaded pox. It does take time to fully recover.
My football trading has annoyed me recently but it is mainly because I have been over confident that I will get out before goals are scored, I will just have to take a more cautious approach untill the goal tally drops off a bit. Good Luck.
Ray